06 Fakultät Luft- und Raumfahrttechnik und Geodäsie

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://elib.uni-stuttgart.de/handle/11682/7

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Publication Type: search.filters.UBSTyp.ZeitschriftenartikelInstitute: search.filters.UBSInstitut.Geodätisches InstitutAuthor: search.filters.author.Sneeuw, NicoAuthor: search.filters.author.Saemian, Peyman

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    A probabilistic approach to characterizing drought using satellite gravimetry
    (2024) Saemian, Peyman; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Elmi, Omid; Sneeuw, Nico; AghaKouchak, Amir
    In the recent past, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission and its successor GRACE Follow‐On (GRACE‐FO), have become invaluable tools for characterizing drought through measurements of Total Water Storage Anomaly (TWSA). However, the existing approaches have often overlooked the uncertainties in TWSA that stem from GRACE orbit configuration, background models, and intrinsic data errors. Here we introduce a fresh view on this problem which incorporates the uncertainties in the data: the Probabilistic Storage‐based Drought Index (PSDI). Our method leverages Monte Carlo simulations to yield realistic realizations for the stochastic process of the TWSA time series. These realizations depict a range of plausible drought scenarios that later on are used to characterize drought. This approach provides probability for each drought category instead of selecting a single final category at each epoch. We have compared PSDI with the deterministic approach (Storage‐based Drought Index, SDI) over major global basins. Our results show that the deterministic approach often leans toward an overestimation of storage‐based drought severity. Furthermore, we scrutinize the performance of PSDI across diverse hydrologic events, spanning continents from the United States to Europe, the Middle East, Southern Africa, South America, and Australia. In each case, PSDI emerges as a reliable indicator for characterizing drought conditions, providing a more comprehensive perspective than conventional deterministic indices. In contrast to the common deterministic view, our probabilistic approach provides a more realistic characterization of the TWS drought, making it more suited for adaptive strategies and realistic risk management.
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    Remote sensing-based extension of GRDC discharge time series : a monthly product with uncertainty estimates
    (2024) Elmi, Omid; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Saemian, Peyman; Sneeuw, Nico
    The Global Runoff Data Center (GRDC) data set has faced a decline in the number of active gauges since the 1980s, leaving only 14% of gauges active as of 2020. We develop the Remote Sensing-based Extension for the GRDC (RSEG) data set that can ingest legacy gauge discharge and remote sensing observations. We employ a stochastic nonparametric mapping algorithm to extend the monthly discharge time series for inactive GRDC stations, benefiting from satellite imagery- and altimetry-derived river width and water height observations. After a rigorous quality assessment of our estimated discharge, involving statistical validation, tests and visual inspection, results in the extension of discharge records for 3377 out of 6015 GRDC stations. The quality of discharge estimates for the rivers with a large or medium mean discharge is quite satisfactory (average KGE value > 0.5) however for river reaches with a low mean discharge the average KGE value drops to 0.33.The RSEG data set regains monitoring capability for 83% of total river discharge measured by GRDC stations, equivalent to 7895 km 3 /month.