06 Fakultät Luft- und Raumfahrttechnik und Geodäsie

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    Remote sensing-based extension of GRDC discharge time series : a monthly product with uncertainty estimates
    (2024) Elmi, Omid; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Saemian, Peyman; Sneeuw, Nico
    The Global Runoff Data Center (GRDC) data set has faced a decline in the number of active gauges since the 1980s, leaving only 14% of gauges active as of 2020. We develop the Remote Sensing-based Extension for the GRDC (RSEG) data set that can ingest legacy gauge discharge and remote sensing observations. We employ a stochastic nonparametric mapping algorithm to extend the monthly discharge time series for inactive GRDC stations, benefiting from satellite imagery- and altimetry-derived river width and water height observations. After a rigorous quality assessment of our estimated discharge, involving statistical validation, tests and visual inspection, results in the extension of discharge records for 3377 out of 6015 GRDC stations. The quality of discharge estimates for the rivers with a large or medium mean discharge is quite satisfactory (average KGE value > 0.5) however for river reaches with a low mean discharge the average KGE value drops to 0.33.The RSEG data set regains monitoring capability for 83% of total river discharge measured by GRDC stations, equivalent to 7895 km 3 /month.
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    A machine learning approach for total water storage anomaly eXtension back to 1980 (ML-TWiX)
    (2026) Saemian, Peyman; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Douch, Karim; Foster, James; Gou, Junyang; Wiese, David; AghaKouchak, Amir; Sneeuw, Nico
    We present ML-TWiX, a global dataset of monthly total water storage anomalies (TWSA) reconstructed from 1980 to 2012, provided on a 0.5 ° × 0.5 ° global grid. While the GRACE and GRACE Follow-On satellite missions have provided valuable observations of global TWSA, their combined record spans just over two decades, limiting their utility for long-term climate and hydrological studies. ML-TWiX extends the GRACE-era record into the pre-GRACE period by learning from global hydrological and land surface model simulations using an ensemble of three machine learning models: Random Forest, XGBoost, and Gaussian Process Regression. The three machine learning models were independently used to reconstruct TWSA, and their outputs were subsequently combined through ensemble averaging to produce a unified product with spatially explicit uncertainty estimates. We validated ML-TWiX against multiple independent datasets, including satellite laser ranging, storage deduced from the water mass balance closure, and global mean sea level budget estimates. It provides a continuous reconstruction of global TWSA, enabling a wide range of applications in hydrology, climate science, and water resource assessment.