06 Fakultät Luft- und Raumfahrttechnik und Geodäsie

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    Remote sensing-based extension of GRDC discharge time series : a monthly product with uncertainty estimates
    (2024) Elmi, Omid; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Saemian, Peyman; Sneeuw, Nico
    The Global Runoff Data Center (GRDC) data set has faced a decline in the number of active gauges since the 1980s, leaving only 14% of gauges active as of 2020. We develop the Remote Sensing-based Extension for the GRDC (RSEG) data set that can ingest legacy gauge discharge and remote sensing observations. We employ a stochastic nonparametric mapping algorithm to extend the monthly discharge time series for inactive GRDC stations, benefiting from satellite imagery- and altimetry-derived river width and water height observations. After a rigorous quality assessment of our estimated discharge, involving statistical validation, tests and visual inspection, results in the extension of discharge records for 3377 out of 6015 GRDC stations. The quality of discharge estimates for the rivers with a large or medium mean discharge is quite satisfactory (average KGE value > 0.5) however for river reaches with a low mean discharge the average KGE value drops to 0.33.The RSEG data set regains monitoring capability for 83% of total river discharge measured by GRDC stations, equivalent to 7895 km 3 /month.
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    Satellite Altimetry-based Extension of global-scale in situ river discharge Measurements (SAEM)
    (2025) Saemian, Peyman; Elmi, Omid; Stroud, Molly; Riggs, Ryan; Kitambo, Benjamin M.; Papa, Fabrice; Allen, George H.; Tourian, Mohammad J.
    River discharge is a crucial measurement, indicating the volume of water flowing through a river cross-section at any given time. However, the existing network of river discharge gauges faces significant issues, largely due to the declining number of active gauges and temporal gaps. Remote sensing, especially radar-based techniques, offers an effective means to this issue. This study introduces the Satellite Altimetry-based Extension of the global-scale in situ river discharge Measurements (SAEM) data set, which utilizes multiple satellite altimetry missions and estimates discharge using the existing worldwide networks of national and international gauges. In SAEM, we have explored 47 000 gauges and estimated height-based discharge for 8730 of them, which is approximately 3 times the number of gauges of the largest existing remote-sensing-based data set. These gauges cover approximately 88 % of the total gauged discharge volume. The height-based discharge estimates in SAEM demonstrate a median Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) of 0.48, outperforming current global data sets. In addition to the river discharge time series, the SAEM data set comprises three more products, each contributing a unique facet to better usage of our data. (1) A catalog of virtual stations (VSs) is defined by certain predefined criteria. In addition to each station's coordinates, this catalog provides information on satellite altimetry missions, distance to the discharge gauge, and relevant quality flags. (2) The altimetric water level time series of those VSs are included, for which we ultimately obtained good-quality discharge data. These water level time series are sourced from both existing Level-3 water level time series and newly generated ones within this study. The Level-3 data are gathered from pre-existing data sets, including Hydroweb.Next (formerly Hydroweb), the Database of Hydrological Time Series of Inland Waters (DAHITI), the Global River Radar Altimetry Time Series (GRRATS), and HydroSat. (3) SAEM's third product is rating curves for the defined VSs, which map water level values into discharge values, derived using a nonparametric stochastic quantile mapping function approach. The SAEM data set can be used to improve hydrological models, inform water resource management, and address nonlinear water-related challenges under climate change. The SAEM data set is available from https://doi.org/10.18419/darus-4475 .
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    Spaceborne river discharge from a nonparametric stochastic quantile mapping function
    (2021) Elmi, Omid; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Bárdossy, András; Sneeuw, Nico
    The number of active gauges with open‐data policy for discharge monitoring along rivers has decreased over the last decades. Therefore, spaceborne measurements are investigated as alternatives. Among different techniques for estimating river discharge from space, developing a rating curve between the ground‐based discharge and spaceborne river water level or width is the most straightforward one. However, this does not always lead to successful results, since the river section morphology often cannot simply be modeled by a limited number of parameters. Moreover, such methods do not deliver a proper estimation of the discharge's uncertainty as a result of the mismodeling and also the coarse assumptions made for the uncertainty of inputs. Here, we propose a nonparametric model for estimating river discharge and its uncertainty from spaceborne river width measurements. The model employs a stochastic quantile mapping scheme by, iteratively: (a) generating realizations of river discharge and width time series using Monte Carlo simulation, (b) obtaining a collection of quantile mapping functions by matching all possible permutations of simulated river discharge and width quantile functions, and (c) adjusting the measurement uncertainties according to the point cloud scatter. We validate our method over 14 different river reaches along the Niger, Congo, Po Rivers, and several river reaches in the Mississippi river basin. Our results show that the proposed algorithm can mitigate the effect of measurement noise and also possible mismodeling. Moreover, the proposed algorithm delivers a meaningful uncertainty for the estimated discharge and allows us to calibrate the error bars of in situ discharge measurements.
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    The potential of EO data for enhanced flood monitoring and forecasting : a consortium assessment
    (2026) Tarpanelli, Angelica; Massari, Christian; Revilla-Romero, Beatriz; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Saemian, Peyman; Elmi, Omid; Scherer, Daniel; Pedinotti, Vanessa; Kittel, Cecile; Benveniste, Jérôme; Bauer-Gottwein, Peter; Ciabatta, Luca; Chewning, Connor; Barbetta, Silvia; Filippucci, Paolo; Cantoni, Èlia; Dettmering, Denise; Andersson, Jafet; Gal, Laetitia; Gustafsson, David; Hundecha, Yeshewatesfa; Larnicol, Gilles; Larnier, Kevin; Nielsen, Karina; Paris, Adrien; Sadki, Malak; Schwatke, Christian; Tamagnone, Paolo; Vrettou, Artemis; Douch, Karim; Volden, Espen; Schumann, Guy
    The monitoring and modeling of riverine floods have been covered extensively in the scientific literature with a substantial number of scientific contributions related to calibration/validation of hydraulic and hydrological models and assimilation of Earth Observation (EO) data into them. These models, when used for flood forecasting purposes, rely heavily on ground-based hydrological networks along with numerical weather models which, particularly in data-scarce regions, are often challenged by data sparsity. In these situations, EO data offer a viable solution to enhance the skill of these flood forecasting systems by providing global-scale observations of key hydrological variables such as precipitation, soil moisture, river discharge, water levels, and flood extent. This manuscript reviews and discusses the capability of these EO data in enhancing flood forecasting systems, by analyzing their accuracy, lead time, and reliability, while at the same time highlighting key challenges such as data latency, spatial–temporal resolution trade-offs, and model assimilation constraints. By leveraging recent advancements in remote sensing, data assimilation techniques, and artificial intelligence, EO-based flood forecasting has the potential to bridge existing observational gaps, particularly in vulnerable regions. The paper also outlines future research directions and technological developments needed to maximize the impact of satellite data in operational flood forecasting systems.