06 Fakultät Luft- und Raumfahrttechnik und Geodäsie
Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://elib.uni-stuttgart.de/handle/11682/7
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Item Open Access Interrelations of vegetation growth and water scarcity in Iran revealed by satellite time series(2022) Behling, Robert; Roessner, Sigrid; Foerster, Saskia; Saemian, Peyman; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Portele, Tanja C.; Lorenz, ChristofIran has experienced a drastic increase in water scarcity in the last decades. The main driver has been the substantial unsustainable water consumption of the agricultural sector. This study quantifies the spatiotemporal dynamics of Iran’s hydrometeorological water availability, land cover, and vegetation growth and evaluates their interrelations with a special focus on agricultural vegetation developments. It analyzes globally available reanalysis climate data and satellite time series data and products, allowing a country-wide investigation of recent 20+ years at detailed spatial and temporal scales. The results reveal a wide-spread agricultural expansion (27,000 km 2) and a significant cultivation intensification (48,000 km 2). At the same time, we observe a substantial decline in total water storage that is not represented by a decrease of meteorological water input, confirming an unsustainable use of groundwater mainly for agricultural irrigation. As consequence of water scarcity, we identify agricultural areas with a loss or reduction of vegetation growth (10,000 km 2), especially in irrigated agricultural areas under (hyper-)arid conditions. In Iran’s natural biomes, the results show declining trends in vegetation growth and land cover degradation from sparse vegetation to barren land in 40,000 km 2, mainly along the western plains and foothills of the Zagros Mountains, and at the same time wide-spread greening trends, particularly in regions of higher altitudes. Overall, the findings provide detailed insights in vegetation-related causes and consequences of Iran’s anthropogenic drought and can support sustainable management plans for Iran or other semi-arid regions worldwide, often facing similar conditions.Item Open Access Remote sensing-based extension of GRDC discharge time series : a monthly product with uncertainty estimates(2024) Elmi, Omid; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Saemian, Peyman; Sneeuw, NicoThe Global Runoff Data Center (GRDC) data set has faced a decline in the number of active gauges since the 1980s, leaving only 14% of gauges active as of 2020. We develop the Remote Sensing-based Extension for the GRDC (RSEG) data set that can ingest legacy gauge discharge and remote sensing observations. We employ a stochastic nonparametric mapping algorithm to extend the monthly discharge time series for inactive GRDC stations, benefiting from satellite imagery- and altimetry-derived river width and water height observations. After a rigorous quality assessment of our estimated discharge, involving statistical validation, tests and visual inspection, results in the extension of discharge records for 3377 out of 6015 GRDC stations. The quality of discharge estimates for the rivers with a large or medium mean discharge is quite satisfactory (average KGE value > 0.5) however for river reaches with a low mean discharge the average KGE value drops to 0.33.The RSEG data set regains monitoring capability for 83% of total river discharge measured by GRDC stations, equivalent to 7895 km 3 /month.Item Open Access Controls on satellite altimetry over inland water surfaces for hydrological purposes(2012) Tourian, Mohammad J.The global available and freely accessible in situ measurements of hydrological cycles is unsatisfactory, limited and has been on the decline, lately. This together with large modeling error for hydrological cycles, support the efforts to seek for alternative measuring techniques. In the recent past, satellite altimetry has been used to measure non-ocean water level variations for hydrological purposes. Due to the effect of topography and heterogeneity of reflecting surface and atmospheric propagation, the expected echo shape for altimeter returns over land differs from that over ocean surfaces. As a result, altimetry measurements over inland waters are erroneous and include missing data. In the present study, we have developed an algorithm to improve the quality of water level time series over non-ocean surfaces. This algorithm contains an outlier identification and elimination process, an algorithm for excluding the noisy waveforms, an unsupervised classification of the satellite waveforms and finally a retracking procedure. The two preliminary steps of outlier identification and noisy waveforms exclusion allow to achieve better results for further classification and retracking steps. We have employed data snooping algorithm to identify and eliminate outliers in the water level time series. Further, an algorithm based on comparing each waveform with fitted waveform from 5β algorithm is developed to identify the noisy waveforms. An unsupervised classification algorithm is implemented to classify the waveforms into consistent groups, for which the appropriate retracking algorithms are performed. The classification algorithm is based on computing the heterogeneity of data sets, which is computed through the difference between median and modal waveforms. We have employed the algorithm to improve the water level time series in Balaton (Hungary) and Urmia (Iran) lakes. After then, we validated the results of proposed algorithm against the available in situ measurements.Item Open Access Satellite Altimetry-based Extension of global-scale in situ river discharge Measurements (SAEM)(2025) Saemian, Peyman; Elmi, Omid; Stroud, Molly; Riggs, Ryan; Kitambo, Benjamin M.; Papa, Fabrice; Allen, George H.; Tourian, Mohammad J.River discharge is a crucial measurement, indicating the volume of water flowing through a river cross-section at any given time. However, the existing network of river discharge gauges faces significant issues, largely due to the declining number of active gauges and temporal gaps. Remote sensing, especially radar-based techniques, offers an effective means to this issue. This study introduces the Satellite Altimetry-based Extension of the global-scale in situ river discharge Measurements (SAEM) data set, which utilizes multiple satellite altimetry missions and estimates discharge using the existing worldwide networks of national and international gauges. In SAEM, we have explored 47 000 gauges and estimated height-based discharge for 8730 of them, which is approximately 3 times the number of gauges of the largest existing remote-sensing-based data set. These gauges cover approximately 88 % of the total gauged discharge volume. The height-based discharge estimates in SAEM demonstrate a median Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE) of 0.48, outperforming current global data sets. In addition to the river discharge time series, the SAEM data set comprises three more products, each contributing a unique facet to better usage of our data. (1) A catalog of virtual stations (VSs) is defined by certain predefined criteria. In addition to each station's coordinates, this catalog provides information on satellite altimetry missions, distance to the discharge gauge, and relevant quality flags. (2) The altimetric water level time series of those VSs are included, for which we ultimately obtained good-quality discharge data. These water level time series are sourced from both existing Level-3 water level time series and newly generated ones within this study. The Level-3 data are gathered from pre-existing data sets, including Hydroweb.Next (formerly Hydroweb), the Database of Hydrological Time Series of Inland Waters (DAHITI), the Global River Radar Altimetry Time Series (GRRATS), and HydroSat. (3) SAEM's third product is rating curves for the defined VSs, which map water level values into discharge values, derived using a nonparametric stochastic quantile mapping function approach. The SAEM data set can be used to improve hydrological models, inform water resource management, and address nonlinear water-related challenges under climate change. The SAEM data set is available from https://doi.org/10.18419/darus-4475 .Item Open Access Hydrogeodesy : a Bayesian perspective(2025) Tourian, Mohammad J.; Sneeuw, Nico (Prof. Dr.)While historically focused on local scales, modern hydrologic studies have increasingly adopted a global perspective, recognizing water as a finite resource and the interconnection between regions. This global perspective puts hydrology within the water cycle framework, offering a comprehensive view of water dynamics across regions and scales. Despite this framework’s conceptual clarity, accurately quantifying the global water cycle remains challenging due to the complexity of capturing localized and large-scale patterns, variations in topography, climate, and land use, as well as temporal variability. These complexities hinder comprehensive measurements, resulting in knowledge gaps around key water cycle components, including river discharge, surface water storage, soil moisture dynamics, and subsurface water storage and flow. Inspired by the existing knowledge gaps in the water cycle, an emerging field known as Hydrogeodesy comes to the forefront. Hydrogeodesy is the discipline that uses terrestrial and primarily spaceborne geodetic data, both geometric and gravimetric, to support global water cycle quantification. Utilizing technologies such as satellite altimetry, gravimetry, imaging, InSAR, GNSS, and GNSS-Reflectometry, hydrogeodesy offers direct or indirect measurements of key water cycle components, including terrestrial water storage, and river discharge, significantly advancing our understanding of water dynamics. Despite advancements in spaceborne geodetic sensors, hydrogeodesy faces challenges such as limitations in the spatiotemporal resolution of satellite measurements, measurement uncertainties, unobserved variables, inconsistencies in background models, and the difficulty of separating aggregated measurements. Possible solutions to these challenges involve combining different data types, including satellite, ground-based observations, and model outputs, to benefit from their complementary strengths. However, this presents its own challenges, as it requires reconciling datasets with varying resolutions, accuracies, and temporal scales. To address some of the challenges listed above, Bayesian approaches offer viable solutions by providing probabilistic interpretations and uncertainty quantification. Bayesian approaches offer a robust framework for updating prior knowledge with new data to yield a posterior distribution, enabling a probabilistic interpretation and explicit uncertainty estimation of parameters. This is especially valuable in hydrogeodesy, where parameters like river discharge, soil moisture, and groundwater storage are often estimated indirectly and carry substantial uncertainties. This habilitation thesis provides a foundational discussion on Bayesian modeling and statistics and demonstrates the versatility and power of Bayesian methods in enhancing our understanding of water cycle components by presenting three distinct Bayesian applications in hydrogeodesy. The first study applies a Bayesian approach, specifically the Kalman filter, to estimate river discharge using spaceborne geodetic measurements. In hydrogeodetic studies, the Kalman filter and dynamic systems are especially valuable, as they enable the integration of multiple data sources and the continuous updating of estimates with incoming measurements. This is particularly beneficial for river systems, which inherently function as a dynamic system. To assess this potential, a method is introduced that uses the cyclostationary properties of discharge as prior information, while observed altimetric discharge data provide the likelihood. Together, these yield a posterior providing an unbiased daily discharge estimate. The method is applied to the Niger River basin and its main tributaries and validated against in situ data from 18 gauges. Results show a high average Correlation Coefficient (CC) of 0.9 and an average relative Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and bias of 15%. This method effectively estimates daily river discharge across entire basins and shows promise for global application, especially in data-scarce regions. With satellite altimetry data from multiple virtual stations and historical discharge data, daily discharge estimates with an error under 20% could be attainable in many river basins worldwide. The growing availability of spaceborne geodetic data, such as that provided by SWOT, further enhances this potential by delivering comprehensive measurements of river height and width, along with global discharge estimates. In most real-world applications, including hydrogeodesy, the Gaussianity assumption required by the Kalman filter does not hold, limiting its applicability. Inspired by this challenge, and motivated by the need to overcome the limitations of the poor spatial resolution of the GRACE and GRACE-FO missions, the second study proposes a Bayesian method to downscale GRACE data, proposing a nonparametric method to infer the posterior distribution directly, without any assumption for the likelihood or posterior. The prior distribution is obtained based on GRACE data values using the monthly variation of GRACE data. To model the likelihood functions, copulas are employed to capture dependencies among multivariate distributions. Monthly empirical copulas are constructed and fitted to analytical copulas, conditioned on specific quantile values, reflecting the dependency between GRACE and fine-scale data. A key advantage of this copula-supported Bayesian approach is its capacity to represent uncertainties in both data and models, even with variable input quality. The proposed downscaling approach is applied to the Amazon Basin, utilizing four different fine-scale datasets: WGHM, PCR-GLOBWB, SURFEX-TRIP, and the ensemble of flux data and soil moisture data from GLEAM and ASCAT. Validation is conducted against two independent datasets: space-based Surface Water Storage Change (SWSC) and GPS-observed Vertical Crustal Displacement Change (VCDR). In SWSC validation, downscaled results capture spatial variations in river storage with high CC and a relative RMSE of 26%. VCDR validation involves two analyses: comparing GPS-VCDR with TWSF-based VCDR using Green’s function convolution, where downscaled products yield RMSE values between 2.27 and 5.65 mm/month, outperforming input fine-scale data with 14 mm/month RMSE. In terms of CC, downscaled results achieve an average value of -0.81 versus -0.73 for the input. The proposed Bayesian framework effectively downscales GRACE data, with performance highly dependent on input data quality. The copula-supported Bayesian approach offers valuable uncertainty quantification even with inconsistent input data. This method aids in understanding water storage variations in small catchments, supporting local hydrological studies, and can be applied to other water cycle parameters as an alternative to traditional methods. Although a direct posterior is obtained for each grid cell in the downscaling study, spatial dependencies among neighboring grid cells are not considered. Graphical models are particularly well-suited for capturing such spatial dependencies. To address this limitation - and inspired by the challenge of noisy water level estimates from satellite altimetry over inland water bodies - the third study presents a Bayesian approach that formulates a probabilistic graphical model known as a Markov Random Field (MRF), with a Maximum A Posteriori estimation of the MRF (MRF-MAP) as the objective. There to improve inland altimetry, a retracking method is proposed. Unlike conventional retracking methods that target a single waveform point, a holistic approach by identifying retracking lines within 2D radargrams, treating the radargram as a segmented image. This segmentation divides the radargram into Front and Back segments, resembling a binary image segmentation task. The proposed MRF-MAP framework uses spatial dependencies as prior information, with the likelihood based on the temporal evolution of pixel labels across groundtrack cycles. Two temporal energy functions are applied: 1D, based solely on pixel intensity, and 2D, which includes both intensity and bin values, with the posterior probability maximized using the maxflow algorithm. The maxflow algorithm is then applied to obtain MAP solution, yielding a segmented radargram where the retracking line is defined as the boundary between segments. The proposed retracker method is applied to both pulse-limited and SAR altimetry datasets across nine U.S. lakes and reservoirs with varying altimetry characteristics. Validated against in situ data, the proposed method improves RMSE by approximately 0.25 m with the 1D temporal energy function and 0.51 m with the 2D function. The main advantage of the proposed method is its robustness against unexpected waveform variations, making it especially valuable for complex radargrams where conventional retrackers often deliver outliers. By integrating both spatial and temporal information, this method offers a more comprehensive understanding of the data and has broad applicability, such as improving the classification of SWOT pixel cloud points by incorporating spatiotemporal detail. Through these case studies, the thesis illustrates the advantages of Bayesian approaches in improving the accuracy and reliability of hydrological estimates - such as river discharge, terrestrial water storage, and water level measurements - derived from spaceborne geodetic sensors. By integrating theoretical insights with practical applications, the thesis demonstrates how Bayesian methods can effectively improve spatiotemporal resolution, obtain uncertainties, enhance data fusion, and accommodate the complexities inherent in hydrological systems. This combination of foundational knowledge and real-world examples shall establish a base for advancing the use of Bayesian approaches in hydrogeodetic research and beyond. Moreover, by highlighting the challenges in hydrogeodesy, this thesis provides a clear direction for future research and development in the field. It emphasizes critical areas requiring attention, such as improving the spatial and temporal resolution of hydrological estimates, addressing inherent uncertainties in geodetic observations, and developing more effective methods for assimilating diverse data sources. The thesis encourages the refinement of geodetic data processing techniques and the adoption of probabilistic frameworks, such as Bayesian modeling, in future work. Building upon the work presented here, future studies can ultimately achieve more accurate and reliable insights into the Earth's systems.