06 Fakultät Luft- und Raumfahrttechnik und Geodäsie

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    Analyzing and characterizing spaceborne observation of water storage variation : past, present, future
    (2024) Saemian, Peyman; Sneeuw, Nico (Prof. Dr.-Ing.)
    Water storage is an indispensable constituent of the intricate water cycle, as it governs the availability and distribution of this precious resource. Any alteration in the water storage can trigger a cascade of consequences, affecting not only our agricultural practices but also the well-being of various ecosystems and the occurrence of natural hazards. Therefore, it is essential to monitor and manage the water storage levels prudently to ensure a sustainable future for our planet. Despite significant advancements in ground-based measurements and modeling techniques, accurately measuring water storage variation remained a major challenge for a long time. Since 2002, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and its successor GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO) satellites have revolutionized our understanding of the Earth's water cycle. By detecting variations in the Earth's gravity field caused by changes in water distribution, these satellites can precisely measure changes in total water storage (TWS) across the entire globe, providing a truly comprehensive view of the world's water resources. This information has proved invaluable for understanding how water resources are changing over time, and for developing strategies to manage these resources sustainably. However, GRACE and GRACE-FO are subject to various challenges that must be addressed in order to enhance the efficacy of our exploitation of GRACE observations for scientific and practical purposes. This thesis aims to address some of the challenges faced by GRACE and GRACE-FO. Since the inception of the GRACE mission, scholars have commonly extracted mass changes from observations by approximating the Earth's gravity field utilizing mathematical functions termed spherical harmonics. Various institutions have already processed GRACE(-FO) data, known as level-2 data in the GRACE community, considering the constraints, approaches, and models that have been utilized. However, this processed data necessitates post-processing to be used for several applications, such as hydrology and climate research. In this thesis, we evaluate various methods of processing GRACE(-FO) level-2 data and assess the spatio-temporal effect of the post-processing steps. Furthermore, we aim to compare the consistency between GRACE and its successor mission, GRACE-FO, in terms of data quality and measurement accuracy. By analyzing and comparing the data from these two missions, we can identify any potential discrepancies or differences and establish the level of confidence in the accuracy and reliability of the GRACE-FO measurements. Finally, we will compare the processed level-3 products with the level-3 products that are presently accessible online. The relatively short record of the GRACE measurements, compared to other satellite missions and observational records, can limit some studies that require long-term data. This short record makes it challenging to separate long-term signals from short-term variability and validate the data with ground-based measurements or other satellite missions. To address this limitation, this thesis expands the temporal coverage of GRACE(-FO) observations using global hydrological, atmospheric, and reanalysis models. First, we assess these models in estimating the TWS variation at a global scale. We compare the performance of various methods including data-driven and machine learning approaches in incorporating models and reconstruct GRACE TWS change. The results are also validated against Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) observations over the pre-GRACE period. This thesis develops a hindcasted GRACE, which provides a better understanding of the changes in the Earth's water storage on a longer time scale. The GRACE satellite mission detects changes in the overall water storage in a specific region but cannot distinguish between the different compartments of TWS, such as surface water, groundwater, and soil moisture. Understanding these individual components is crucial for managing water resources and addressing the effects of droughts and floods. This study aims to integrate various data sources to improve our understanding of water storage variations at the continental to basin scale, including water fluxes, lake water level, and lake storage change data. Additionally, the study demonstrates the importance of combining GRACE(-FO) observations with other measurements, such as piezometric wells and rain-gauges, to understand the water scarcity predicament in Iran and other regions facing similar challenges. The GRACE satellite mission provides valuable insights into the Earth's system. However, the GRACE product has a level of uncertainty due to several error sources. While the mission has taken measures to minimize these uncertainties, researchers need to account for them when analyzing the data and communicate them when reporting findings. This thesis proposes a probabilistic approach to incorporate the Total Water Storage Anomaly (TWSA) data from GRACE(-FO). By accounting for the uncertainty in the TWSA data, this approach can provide a more comprehensive understanding of drought conditions, which is essential for decision makers managing water resources and responding to drought events.
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    Water level monitoring at SAPOS stations through GNSS-IR : a case study at the station Iffezheim
    (2023) Wagner, Sven B.
    The German SAPOS-Network comprises approximately 270 permanent GNSS receivers, capturing signals from Global Navigation Satellite Systems such as GPS, GLONASS, Galileo, and BeiDou. Primarily employed for generating kinematic, mathematical, and physical models within their respective regions, these receivers hold untapped potential for alternative applications. GNSS receivers capture multipath errors, typically considered unwanted interferences resulting from signal reflections off surfaces beneath the antenna. Despite their potential to adversely affect data precision, these interferences contain valuable information about the reflecting surface. As satellites pass through the receivers’ field of view at specific elevation angles, the interference between the direct and reflected signals leads to constructive and destructive patterns. This phenomenon occurs due to variations in signal phase between the direct and reflected signal, enhancing or dampening the signal strength. These variations in signal strength are captured in the satellites Signal-to-Noise Ratio (SNR) data. Spectral analysis of the SNR data can be used to determine the frequency of the interference pattern. Combining this frequency with the corresponding signal wavelength and satellite elevation angles allows the calculation of the vertical distance between the antenna phase centre and the reflecting surface on Earth. This method, known as GNSS Interferometric Reflectometry (GNSS-IR), provides a valuable means of monitoring surface information, including soil moisture, snow depth, and water levels. At SAPOS stations near rivers and water bodies, GNSS-IR offers a cost-effective, accessible, and innovative opportunity to gather water level information using the already existing infrastructure. This research explores the potential of GNSSIR for water level monitoring at SAPOS stations focusing on the Iffezheim station along the Rhine River near the City of Karlsruhe in southern Germany.
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    Understanding the hydrological signature in gravity data
    (2023) Schollmeier, Philipp
    Over the past two decades, the subsequent advancements in Superconducting Gravimeters (SGs) have ushered in a level of precision that enables the measurement of the impact of ground water and soil water on gravity. Because of the challenging nature of monitoring the total water volume and the relatively subtle amplitude of the hydrological signal, a comprehensive understanding of the precise hydrological signature in continuous gravity data remains elusive. In this study, I use SG data in conjunction with hydrological measurements from a geoscientific observatory in Germany to find the signature of hydrological signals in gravity data. I scrutinize the various steps involved in extracting this signal, presenting new methodologies, including a technique to eliminate oscillations in gravity residuals that are likely attributed to remaining tidal signals due to an imperfect tidal model. A major contribution of this work involves constructing a data-driven model that incorporates precipitation and soil moisture measurements to elucidate gravity variations. I address critical questions such as the impact of utilizing soil moisture data on the model’s performance, determining the optimal model for achieving the closest fit with gravity measurements, and assessing the applicability of computed model parameters to new epochs. Furthermore, I provide recommendations for refining the model-building process in future investigations. Results show that a convolution of the different hydrological timeseries with one half of a Gaussian bell curve leads to a strong agreement with the gravity measurements. The use of soil moisture data significantly improves the fit, especially when the measurement stations are spatially well distributed. This fit becomes less strong when the computed parameters are applied to new events, but the approach showed promise for some of the events. Enhancing our comprehension of the hydrological influence on gravity measurements holds promising implications, potentially positioning SGs as instruments for monitoring soil and ground water in the future. Moreover, this improved understanding could elevate the pre cision of analyzing other subtle signals, such as the effects of Polar Motion.
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    Assessment of ICESat-2 laser altimetry in hydrological applications
    (2024) Wang, Bo; Sneeuw, Nico (Prof. Dr.-Ing.)
    Water bodies act as critical components of the hydrological cycle, serving as reservoirs, lakes, wetlands, and aquifers that store and release water over time. Monitoring changes in the extent and volume of these water bodies is crucial for understanding their role in regulating water flow, maintaining baseflow during dry periods, and supporting ecological habitats. Furthermore, the identification of trends and alterations in water body dynamics aids in detecting potential impacts of climate change and human activities on the hydrological cycle. Historically, gauge stations have been employed to monitor the water level of these bodies since the 19th century. However, their numbers have been dwindling since the 1970s due to maintenance challenges. With the development of satellite altimetry missions, more accurate and continuous monitoring of lakes and rivers has become possible. These satellites in recent years offer the capability to provide water level data with different along-track sampling distances. For instance, ICESat-2 offers a sampling distance of 70 cm with a footprint size of ~17 m, while Sentinel-3 provides a sampling distance of 300 m. The temporal resolution ranges from 10 days (Jason-3) to 369 days (Cryosat-2). These advances allow researchers to effectively observe and understand changes in water bodies. The invention of satellite-based laser altimetry has brought a revolutionary advancement in our ability to monitor and study Earth’s water bodies with unprecedented precision and extensive spatial coverage. This doctoral thesis aims to explore the diverse applications of ICESat-2 laser altimetry data over inland water bodies. Through these investigations, the aim is to advance our understanding of global hydrological processes and acquire valuable insights to improve water resource management strategies. It is important to understand the error budget of the altimetric observations, one component of which is radial orbit error. Apart from the altimetric ranging errors, radial orbit errors directly influence the accuracy of the measurement of Earth’s surface heights. These errors can be assessed by analyzing the difference of surface heights at ground track intersections, so-called crossover differences (XO differences). An effective approach is to model the orbit error by minimizing the residual XO difference by the least-squares (LS) method, which is commonly known as XO adjustment. This method was implemented in the Arctic region to examine the performance of the LS adjustment over spherical cap geometry and assess the level of radial orbit error across a large-scale area. This analysis will aid in understanding the accuracy and reliability of ICESat-2 satellite orbit over the Arctic region. The ICESat-2 satellite captures high-resolution observations of Earth’s surface, including land and water, thus enabling dense measurements of heights. The green laser used in ICESat-2 has the capability to penetrate water surfaces, allowing measurements of not only the lake water level but also the nearshore water bottom. This study proposes a novel algorithm that combines ICESat-2 measurements with Landsat imagery to extract lake water level, extent and volume. This algorithm was applied to Lake Mead, resulting in a long-term time series of water level, extent and volume dating back to 1984, only derived from remote sensing data. The ICESat-2 satellite is equipped with three pairs of laser transmitters, which concurrently generate three pairs of ground tracks. This unique characteristic enables us to derive river surface heights for each ground track, thereby calculating the river slope between two tracks, referred to as the across-track river slope. Moreover, when one ground track passes through the river surface, producing dense measurements, it allows us to obtain the small-scale slope for that specific track, termed the along-track based river slope. By using these methods, both types of slopes were estimated for the entire length of the Rhine River and subsequently generated the average slope for each reach along the river.
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    Advancing ADAS perception : a sensor-parameterized mmplementation of the GM-PHD filter
    (2024) Bader, Christian; Schwieger, Volker
    Modern vehicles equipped with Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) rely heavily on sensor fusion to achieve a comprehensive understanding of their surrounding environment. Traditionally, the Kalman Filter (KF) has been a popular choice for this purpose, necessitating complex data association and track management to ensure accurate results. To address errors introduced by these processes, the application of the Gaussian Mixture Probability Hypothesis Density (GM-PHD) filter is a good choice. This alternative filter implicitly handles the association and appearance/disappearance of tracks. The approach presented here allows for the replacement of KF frameworks in many applications while achieving runtimes below 1 ms on the test system. The key innovations lie in the utilization of sensor-based parameter models to implicitly handle varying Fields of View (FoV) and sensing capabilities. These models represent sensor-specific properties such as detection probability and clutter density across the state space. Additionally, we introduce a method for propagating additional track properties such as classification with the GM-PHD filter, further contributing to its versatility and applicability. The proposed GM-PHD filter approach surpasses a KF approach on the KITTI dataset and another custom dataset. The mean OSPA (2) error could be reduced from 1.56 (KF approach) to 1.40 (GM-PHD approach), showcasing its potential in ADAS perception.
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    A probabilistic approach to characterizing drought using satellite gravimetry
    (2024) Saemian, Peyman; Tourian, Mohammad J.; Elmi, Omid; Sneeuw, Nico; AghaKouchak, Amir
    In the recent past, the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission and its successor GRACE Follow‐On (GRACE‐FO), have become invaluable tools for characterizing drought through measurements of Total Water Storage Anomaly (TWSA). However, the existing approaches have often overlooked the uncertainties in TWSA that stem from GRACE orbit configuration, background models, and intrinsic data errors. Here we introduce a fresh view on this problem which incorporates the uncertainties in the data: the Probabilistic Storage‐based Drought Index (PSDI). Our method leverages Monte Carlo simulations to yield realistic realizations for the stochastic process of the TWSA time series. These realizations depict a range of plausible drought scenarios that later on are used to characterize drought. This approach provides probability for each drought category instead of selecting a single final category at each epoch. We have compared PSDI with the deterministic approach (Storage‐based Drought Index, SDI) over major global basins. Our results show that the deterministic approach often leans toward an overestimation of storage‐based drought severity. Furthermore, we scrutinize the performance of PSDI across diverse hydrologic events, spanning continents from the United States to Europe, the Middle East, Southern Africa, South America, and Australia. In each case, PSDI emerges as a reliable indicator for characterizing drought conditions, providing a more comprehensive perspective than conventional deterministic indices. In contrast to the common deterministic view, our probabilistic approach provides a more realistic characterization of the TWS drought, making it more suited for adaptive strategies and realistic risk management.
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    Cross-over analysis of altimetry over ocean and investigating the orbital error’s effect on inter-mission/track bias in inland altimetry
    (2024) Kappich, Oliver
    The largest part of Earth’s surface (approximately 71%) is covered with water. Given the constantly changing environment, particularly amidst accelerated climate change, it is crucial to continuously measure the water levels of oceans and lakes. Therefore, satellite altimetry becomes essential. The orbits of the altimetry satellites are selected in a way that allows satellites to pass over the same locations after a specific interval. These orbits are termed as repeat orbits, facilitating the creation of time series measurements. Over the past 40 years, numerous altimetry satellite missions have been launched. When multi-mission monitoring of water bodies is targeted, each satellite altimeter possesses its own biases, which should be removed for comparability among different missions. This ensures the creation of long-term data records by combining data from various missions. Over open oceans, this is typically achieved through a cross-calibration method. However, these methods prove effective for ocean data but not for inland altimetry. In this thesis, I investigated the reasons for the bias among water values measured by different satellites. Additionally, I explored potential solutions to merge the data. The main focus lays on the tandem phases of Jason 1 and 2, as well as Jason 2 and 3. The study area focused on Lake Erie, situated in the Great Lakes region in the northwest of the US. To reduce the bias, I employed a cross-calibration method to estimate and reduce radial error components. As this approach does not resolve the entire bias problem, I investigated the retracking algorithms by comparing their results. Differences between height measurements of Jason 2 and Jason 3, both using MLE4, were identified. It could be determined that MLE4 in Jason 3 finds systematically lower values compared to Jason 2. Over the whole tandem phase, Jason 3 finds the retracking point approximately 20%, in respect to the leading edge, lower than Jason 2. The influence of this systematic difference on the SSH/LLH remains unclear, as no further investigations are done. To get a better understanding if the bias can be reduced when the mid-height point is used, two simple threshold retracking algorithms are employed. The outcome is, that the difference between Jason 2 and Jason 3 increased to 18.3 cm on average. Lastly, I examined the corrections that need to be added to the range measurement of the satellite. This includes the geoid undulation, tidal height variations, the ocean surface response caused by atmospheric pressure and propagation delay due to the atmosphere. I found differences of 5 to 8 cm over Lake Erie in the atmosphere corrections. Employing the same corrections for two satellites yielded the most effective bias reduction. However, employing this technique, necessitates satellites passing the same location within a few minutes of each other. Consequently, the Jason satellites were selected during their tandem phases. On average the bias could be reduced from 7 cm to 2.4 cm. The study delved into understanding and reducing biases in satellite altimetry measurements, particularly focusing on the tandem phases of Jason satellites, revealing challenges and promising methods to significantly reduce biases.
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    Forecasting next year's global land water storage using GRACE data
    (2024) Li, Fupeng; Kusche, Jürgen; Sneeuw, Nico; Siebert, Stefan; Gerdener, Helena; Wang, Zhengtao; Chao, Nengfang; Chen, Gang; Tian, Kunjun
    Existing approaches for predicting total water storage (TWS) rely on land surface or hydrological models using meteorological forcing data. Yet, such models are more adept at predicting specific water compartments, such as soil moisture, rather than others, which consequently impedes accurately forecasting of TWS. Here we show that machine learning can be used to uncover relations between nonseasonal terms of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) derived total water storage and the preceding hydrometeorological drivers, and these relations can subsequently be used to predict water storage up to 12 months ahead, and even exceptional droughts on the basis of near real‐time observational forcing data. Validation by actual GRACE observations suggests that the method developed here has the capability to forecast trends in global land water storage for the following year. If applied in early warning systems, these predictions would better inform decision‐makers to improve current drought and water resource management.